◆NEWSPirates Notes: Keller, Pitching Pursuits, Lineup◆ROSTERSigned free agent RHP Enmanuel Nunez to a minor league contract◆STATPaul Skenes ranks 4th in the NL in strikeouts (200)◆STATNick Gonzales ranks 4th in the NL in batting average (.303)
◆NEWSPirates Notes: Keller, Pitching Pursuits, Lineup◆ROSTERSigned free agent RHP Enmanuel Nunez to a minor league contract◆STATPaul Skenes ranks 4th in the NL in strikeouts (200)◆STATNick Gonzales ranks 4th in the NL in batting average (.303)
The Pirates once again turned into an elite baseball team the minute they dropped under .500. The Bucs routed the Mariners tonight 11-1 behind a 5th run 4th inning and another elite start from Braxton Ashcraft. The offense didn’t need a single home run to plate 11 runners, and once again showed a great ability to crowd the basepaths. This is now the 8th game of the season where the offense has put up double digit runs in a game. They made one of the best pitchers in the AL look foolish after he started with a near perfect 3 innings. What Tyler and I break down the game in further detail here:
The Pirates Under .500 Are the 27′ Yankees
The Pirates have been hovering around .500 for a solid 2-3 months at this point in the season. They have dipped below .500 on occasion, and without fail, they have fought their way back to .500, and tonight was no exception. Players who have been ice cold will become Babe Ruth at a drop of a hat; tonight’s examples are Ryan O’Hearn and Tyler Callihan, who combined for 5 hits and 5 RBIs between them. The team has now posted 4 straight victories when 1 game under breaking even, and while they continue to be frustrating, they continue to show lots of mental fortitude. This is simply a team that will hover around. 500 until the deadline when Ben has one more chance to make this a truly competitive team. The team is truly 1-2 big pieces away from pulling away from this. 500 curses.
Braxton Ashcraft We Are Not Worthy
Braxton Ashcraft has pitched yet another gem and once again steadied a shaky ship for the Pirates tonight. After surrendering his sole run in the first inning, he went 5 more scoreless and was efficient enough to go out for a 7th but was pulled because of a blowout score. His final line sits at 6 IP, 1 ER, 9 K, on 86 pitches and dropped his ERA to 3.07 on the year. He continues to impress with amazing command combined with elite whiff rates. Ashcraft surrendered 0 walks tonight and induced 15 whiffs on a 79% strike rate tonight. Braxton continues to be the Pirates’ most reliable arm in terms of efficiency and inning rates. There is a reason he is tied with Skenes on WAR and is in the top 10 for WAR among starting pitchers this season. It would be a travesty and a crime if MLB does not select him to represent Pittsburgh at the All Star Game this year.
Endy Rodriguez has been so good that he forced the Pirates to dump Joey Bart for an old AAA relief pitcher just to fix the 40-man logjam. Despite miserable stats in AAA, Endy has come up to the majors and firmly taken the starting catching job. He reaches base 3 times tonight, with a double, a single, and a walk. He started the offensive party with a clutch 2-run double, continuing his impressive poise when batting with RISP. The defense leaves something to be desired and isn’t nearly as good as Davis. However, with Cruz and Griffin being hurt for a long period of time, he has provided back-of-the-lineup support where the Pirates desperately needed him. The underlying metrics suggest he isn’t getting lucky either. Endy is walking at incredibly high rates and is beating the cover off the baseball with his exit velocities. People who held Endy stock for 3 years at this rate are eating well and deserve all the praise because I personally gave up on him a long time ago.
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The Debate
Should the Pirates have pulled Carmen Mlodzinski after the seventh once the lead hit 9-1?
No comments yet — be the first to weigh in.
With Tyler Sweeney and Neil Lucas.
Chapters
Key takeaways
1
Carmen Mlodzinski, a top-two reliever on this team, should have come out once the lead hit 9-1. Use the lesser arms in a blowout and keep him fresh for games that matter.
2
This is the best Bryan Reynolds we've ever seen. He's walking almost 15% of the time with an .890 OPS, and he's probably the biggest reason the Pirates are still at .500.
3
Endy Rodríguez isn't as good as Henry Davis defensively, but offensively he's head and shoulders above him. A 700+ OPS from a catcher is an enormous upgrade over Davis's roughly .500 OPS.
4
Braxton Ashcraft, at 7-3 with a 3.07 ERA, looks like an NL All-Star and the perfect No. 2 starter behind Skenes.
5
When Konnor Griffin is ready to come back, Esmerlyn Valdez is probably the one sent down. One host would rather it be Tyler Callihan or Billy Cook.
This is the North Shore Nine podcast presented by FanDu.
I am Tyler, with me is Jim, doing a little role reversal, and you're listening to the NS9 post-game show, powered by Permanente Brothers, where we are giving away sandwiches.
And then the Pirates got a gift there on that O'Hearn book roll double, right?
Like, that was a ball that's probably caught most of the time.
Right.
The Pirates got lucky with Julio Rodriguez playing in left field, like, right after an injury.
You could tell he, like, wasn't going 100%.
He pulled up a little early.
The ball lands in fair territory.
It bounces over the fence.
And then all of a sudden, you've got runners on second and third, one out, when off the bat, I was assuming runner on first, two outs.
And then, like, right then and there, I was like, that's a gift.
Like, they just, you just got a gift here.
You have to make them pay.
And the thing that we've seen over this last week of, like, of, like, tough games is they haven't been taking advantage of the opportunities that they've been given.
And that fourth inning, they were given an opportunity and they took advantage, right?
And the double, Callihan triple, Mangum single, Valdez single, which almost was a homer.
So, yeah, just, they took advantage of the opportunities that were given to them.
And right then and there, up five, one, they get to Brian Wu, who had been cruising through three innings.
So, yeah, great inning.
Great job by, shout out Indy Rodriguez, Tyler Callihan, those guys for making the Mariners pay when they gave you that chance.
It was the bottom of the order there.
and hopefully that's something like, maybe that's what Ryan O'Hearn needed here was seeing that, just seeing the ball go through the hoop.
Don Kelly, does he not have the authority to change the obvious scheduled three innings for Carmen?
He's the damn manager.
Use some common sense.
Yeah.
We'll get to that here.
we just won.
So like, let's not get to the, that's like the one thing I guess I can complain about today.
We'll get to that at the end.
Let's talk about some fun stuff first, Sean.
Thank you for your super chat prayers for horror.
Let's start a prayer chain for horror.
Yep.
Let's go.
Let's get the prayer chain going.
Prayer chain for horror.
Actually, have we even said really, have we did, have we done like the update there officially?
no, not yet.
Hunter Horwitz was removed from today's game in that fourth inning.
saying that it was left hamstring discomfort and he's currently being evaluated and treated by the medical staff.
So that was the last we heard, about Horwitz's condition.
Luckily Valdez came in and performed quite admirably for him.
Yeah.
Good to see Esmerlyn Valdez come in and just have a good night.
he's been scuffling a little bit here, but he's been played so inconsistently that I get it, but good to see he hit the ball hard, but just again, there's not much to complain
about today, there's not an, unless you're Michael B, but we'll get to that too.
Cause I will get agree with it.
I do agree with him, but we'll get there.
Yeah, I do too.
yeah.
Before we get to that though, we have to talk about the man of the hour and it's Braxton Ashcraft.
I feel like.
Yeah.
Six innings, 10 strikeouts.
86 pitches.
I believe is what he ended up at.
Yeah.
86 pitches, 10 strikeouts, five hits, one earned run, no walks, lowers the RA to 307.
Am I don't want to overhype it here, Jim, but like he makes it look easy.
Like it looks easy when he's on the mound.
Yeah.
he was, he was incredible today.
The curve ball.
Like I want to talk about that curve ball.
Like it was just perfectly placed.
It felt like every single time he threw it, he threw that pitch.
34% of the time tonight too, it was his most used pitch.
He threw 29 of those pitches, Tyler.
the Mariners only put two of them in play two of 29.
They put in play.
they swung and missed at a 53% clip on it.
it was just what a pitch for him, that has turned out to be.
he leaned on it, especially later on in the game, like the first time through the order, he was heavy fastball.
Second time through that curve ball, he threw, about half his pitches.
Second time through the order was the curve ball.
And then he mixed it up.
And the third time through, he went more slider curve ball fastball.
So he did a really good job of just mixing it up as the game progressed, pounding the strike zone.
He, yeah, it's like, it's funny.
Cause like we talk about, and I see the comments in here too.
Like we talk about, Paul Skenes and his down year.
Quote unquote down year.
Right.
And I think people wish that Paul Skenes looked a little bit more like this, right?
Where he's just, he's just flat out attacking people, relying on his stuff.
He's not walking people like he, that just the first and 10 strikeouts, no walks.
It's the second time he's done that this year.
No other pirates pitcher has done that in a season ever before, at least in the modern, at least since 1901, when they started tracking things like this, a little bit better since
1901, no pirates pitcher has ever done this in a season.
It's June 24th.
We're not, we're at game 80.
We're barely at almost to the halfway point.
And Braxton Ashcraft has already done something that no other pirates pitcher has done in a season, 10 strikeouts, no walks in two starts.
It's never been done.
Like you said it there, I pirates fans probably wish Paul Skenes look more like Braxton Ashcraft sometimes.
And that's not really hyperbole there.
Ashcraft makes it look easy when he's out there a lot of the time, at least this year.
And skeins has his stretches where he is just absolutely dominant.
You cannot touch him lately.
It's been a little bit more difficult.
but the way Ashcraft just goes after guys is fun to watch.
He doesn't, he doesn't really have counts to get deep on him.
I feel like you rarely see him in three ball counts and I don't have the stats to back that up because I don't feel like looking it up, but anecdotally it seems that way.
and then you talked about the curve ball, like that is an absolute weapon, not only just in general, but against the lefties.
I think that's what makes him so good is that he's able to get lefties out without a problem.
And it's because of that curve ball.
It's got such late break to it.
And plus he tunnels it so well, like it's such a good pitch and it's so refreshing because I don't feel like we see really good curve balls anymore.
We see sweeper.
It's fun watching a good curve ball and Ashcraft has one.
Yeah.
It's one of the better ones that we've seen from a pirates pitcher.
Jared Jones has a really good curve ball when it's on to like, I like watching Jones, but yeah, you're right.
Like it's just nice to, yeah, it's very heavy slider sweeper nowadays.
It's nice to just see well executed curve balls.
Cause yeah, it, and he is having a hell of a year.
His season ERA is now down to 3.07.
He's seven and three.
I don't know about you, Tyler, but he's looking like an NL all-star to me.
I got a handful of guys that like could probably be NL all-stars.
Yeah.
And it looks like one of them though.
He does.
he, when I think of a number two in a rotation, that's it.
Like, I think a lot, I think a lot of teams would take him as a one, but yeah, he is a perfect number two.
Yep.
Like if you're thinking of that number two, it's Braxton Ashcraft, but he's not quite at that upper echelon of starting pitchers and he's not that far off, but keep saying
it.
I feel like every time we're on here, it doesn't get much better than him and schemes throughout baseball.
It doesn't know.
No, right now going into today, they were both, Paul Skenes was number five in war for pitchers, Braxton Ashcraft.
He was number nine.
He was 0.1 war behind schemes after today.
He probably bumps up ahead of them.
So you're looking at two of the top six pitchers in baseball are going to be in this pirates rotation according to war.
pretty cool.
Pretty cool.
Pretty cool.
Pretty cool.
But they're only 500 Tyler.
Yeah.
You know what?
Today's a good day.
We're not going to, I'm not going to, that's a, that's a topic for another day.
Yeah.
That's a topic for tomorrow on NS9 Live.
Yep.
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Middle of the order back that has driven in a lot of runs for this team.
Three RBIs today.
Yeah.
He's a guy you really need to get going here.
Yeah.
Since coming off the IL, he's been hitting 244, 81 weight runs created plus.
He had that like monster game in Sacramento with the double, the homer, six runs batted in.
So like he had a good series there, but yeah, his last four games, his last four games, Ryan O'Hearn was one for 16.
Right.
And again, since coming off the IL hasn't been great.
And with Cruz out with Griffin out, it's been like the Bryan Reynolds show right now.
And it's nice to have some supporting characters start to show up a little bit.
Horwitz has been fine and he's been pretty good.
Callihan had his one, day in the day in the sun there against the Dodgers.
But you need more consistent performances from the guys that you're relying on.
So yeah, you really would like to see O'Hearn get going here because it looks like Konnor Griffin's pretty close, but Oneil Cruz still has a few more weeks.
So they're like Reynolds is going to need some help.
And Bryan Reynolds has been just in incredible, not only for this season, but just really ever since they've needed, like ever since they've needed someone to step up when Griffin and Cruz went down, like it's been Reynolds has been carrying this
team.
He has been fabulous in June.
I know we always talk about how good he is in June.
I don't remember him ever being this locked in.
This is the best I've ever seen him.
Yeah.
He's on a different level right now.
He really is.
Another two hits today.
Like we're creeping up on a 300 average.
He's all, he almost has a 900 OPS.
That's crazy.
Cause he's, he started the year at, he wasn't bad, but the way he has turned it on, he's probably the biggest reason this team is 500 right now because they very
easily could have gone on a major skid and there were, there's at least a couple of games in there throughout this last month or so where he's just won them ball games by himself.
And he just continues to night after night.
Like you just pencil them in the screw pencil and put it in marker, throw them in that lineup every day.
And you're going to get two or three hits from Bryan Reynolds right now.
Right.
I know.
Yeah.
Go ahead.
890 OPS, 148 weighted runs created.
Plus he's a 51 walks already on the year.
Last season.
He had 57 walks.
Like he's just, he's just doing everything.
He's walking at almost a 15% rate.
He's striking out less than he has since his, since that like magical 2021 season that he had.
I honestly think this is like the best Bryan Reynolds we've ever seen.
I'm looking for wood near me.
I guess this desk is wood.
The defense hasn't looked that bad either.
Has it Jim?
At least I, why it's like, I haven't early in the year was ugly.
It's fine.
Right.
he's at negative three outs above average, one defensive run saved.
And the defensive run saved is one because he robbed like three homers last week.
But no, he hasn't been, it hasn't like 2024.
He was God awful in the field.
He's, he's not, he hasn't been that.
But compared to like April B-Ray, it was, it was terrible.
Like in left field, he was a nightmare.
I haven't seen that lately.
No, I haven't.
It's been nice.
And then another guy I feel like we need to talk about at least like three times a week right now is Endy Rodríguez and tell me why he's so much better than Henry Davis.
yeah, I was, I was ready to give up on Andy.
That's what was, what's crazy.
two more hits today.
Three RBIs.
he got this thing going.
Well, and like, it's just good at bats too.
Like he's walking a lot.
And now he's not like Endy Rodríguez isn't going to walk at an 18% rate.
but that's what he's doing right now.
And it, we're not even talking about that small of a sample size anymore.
He's almost up to a hundred plate appearances.
He's driving the ball.
He's hitting it harder than I, than I remember him being able to hit the ball ever.
He does look like a different hitter than the last time we saw him.
Because I feel like the first couple times we saw Andy just, you didn't see the exit velocities.
You just didn't see him driving balls.
It was just a lot of, blooping and dinking and things like that.
Now you're seeing him drive the ball, average exit VLO, by the way, for ND 92.4, in 2023, where, when he got the majority of his playing time, it was 89.
So like he's, his average exit VLO is way higher.
you look at like his barrel percentage, his launch angle, his chase, like it's just all, everything just looks good right now.
He's seeing the ball really well.
He's hitting the ball in the air to the pool side, which is, and when you, when you hit the ball hard that way, good things happen.
you look at his spray chart and it looks really, it's perfect.
It's he's doing a lot of things, right?
I'm not like, I don't love his defense.
I think you, when he's back there, you can, you can see a difference defensively between him and Davis.
But offensively wise heads and shoulders above Henry Davis right now.
Like, it's not even close.
Yeah.
He's not as good defensively as Henry.
It's pretty obvious.
there are definitely some like just weird things that I think I like about him behind the plate.
Like, I think it was maybe yesterday or the day before.
Can't remember if Don Kelly was arguing something or, but you see Andy, they're just chatting up the umpire.
The umpire starts laughing at him, but it's just little things like that as a catcher that are very important.
And I know there's ABS system now, so calls aren't always going to go your way.
You can challenge things, but there's an energy that he brings.
That's very enjoyable, I think.
And obviously it's a lot more enjoyable when you're hitting 30% above average and yeah, you're contributing to wins.
Obviously that's more fun if he was hitting a hundred right now and laughing, I'd probably be really annoyed, but he's earning his keep right now.
And there's a reason they traded Joey Bart.
They obviously believe in him.
He's proving his work at this point.
Is he going to continue at this pace offensively?
I have a hard time believing that, but there's, he's got an 845 OPS, right?
There's some upside.
Yeah.
Is he a 715 OPS guy?
I think that's believable.
Yeah.
And Zips is starting to believe in him too.
Like, if, depending on how much stock you put in that, but he's an 845 OPS.
Now Zips is saying for the rest of the year, he's going to be at 718, like from this point forward.
So if that right, like Henry Davis teeters on the edge of 500 OPSs, you give me a, an OPS of over 700 out of the catcher's position.
That's a, that's an enormous upgrade.
Very much so.
And not to mention, he just caught a six inning 10 strikeout zero walk performance from Braxton Ashcraft.
We'd be giving Henry Davis credit for that right now.
Yeah.
So, good point.
So time to get to Michael B's, issues here.
Yeah.
Let's talk about it.
Cause I guess that is the one issue, right.
That I do have with that.
I felt encouraged when Carmen Mlodzinski pitched two innings the other day, pitch count was a little low, clamoring that he's not going to be this long reliever that you use in games that don't matter.
So that means when Carmen Mlodzinski was on the mound, the pirates had already had a 97% win probability.
And he added the last three essentially that's not how I want him used.
I'm cool with him pitching that seventh inning because at that point it was a five, one game.
Go ahead and put the zero on the board in the seventh.
But then once you put a four spot up and it's nine to one, get him out of there and save him for a game that matters.
Use Brandon Bidouin and Dennis Santana and whoever you want to throw out there for the last two innings.
Like it's a nine, one game.
We don't, we don't need to use who, in my opinion, is probably our best reliever and, maybe Soto, but like he's a top two, top two reliever on this team is Carmen Mlodzinski.
And you just use them when you clearly didn't need to.
I pretty much agree with everything you just said.
I'm with you.
I would use him there in the seventh.
I think that was, I was actually pleasantly surprised when they brought him out there in the seventh inning.
I was cool with them pulling Ashcraft when they did.
No real.
I'm good with just letting it die there.
Pitch well enough.
Let's monitor his innings a little bit here and there as much as you can, at least five, one game.
And then when you have a Carmen Mlodzinski to come in after that makes me even cooler with it.
Cool.
You're basically guaranteeing you're getting seven innings of pretty good pitching.
You take that big lead.
I think that's probably where I pull the plug on it.
Get him out of there after one inning.
I guess the one positive of it is that he only threw 39 pitches in three innings.
So he shouldn't be down as long as we've seen in the past, but.
He's still going to be down a couple.
He's not going to pitch tomorrow.
I don't know.
I don't know if he'd pitch Friday.
Yeah, I.
I guess I just don't get the point in bringing him out there for three innings other than to just give him a save.
maybe you're not.
You're not burning other arms, but.
He faced eight batters today when the Pirates had a win probability of 99.9.
He faced eight separate batters with a win probability of 99.9.
There's just.
Use anyone else.
Like, that is the time when you go to your bad reliever who you just.
Who he's on your team so that he can eat up innings, right?
I've seen teams put position players in situations like that, right?
He faced eight batters when they had a win probability of 100, essentially.
Like, the game was over and now.
Karin Mlodzinski can't pitch tomorrow and he probably can't pitch Friday.
He'll probably be available for Saturday, but if you need him for the next two days, he's unavailable.
He'll be in a t-shirt in the dugout, Tyler.
He will be.
That's a bad thing.
Like, I'm chuckling, but you're not lying.
That's what's going to happen.
He'll be in the dugout.
And I don't know if I'd be that annoyed if it weren't for, like, I question whether they did this just so they can give him a save.
Just so we can appease him.
Like, that's where I'm at with him right now.
Are we just doing things to make him happy?
I don't know.
I don't know.
I don't know.
But.
It.
Like, that's the perfect spot to just use Badois.
That's that is the spot to use him.
Young pitcher.
You don't really have a ton of trust in and high leverage.
Like, put him in the game there and let him get major league hitters out without a ton of pressure.
That's the only spot you have to use that guy.
You can't pitch in close games.
Instead, you use your second best reliever.
Maybe first.
Who knows?
But.
You got to save.
You got to save.
And he gets to hang out in the dugout again.
Yep.
And it's me.
Yeah, that's.
And I want to address this.
It's like.
There's a comment here.
It's called saving the bullpen.
Guess you guys have never heard of that before.
No, like, that's what I'm trying to do.
Carmen is the bullpen that I'm trying to save here.
Right.
Because I don't want to save any of the other guys.
They all suck.
Use the guys who suck right now in the game that's over and save the guy who's good for the games that matter.
Like, that's that is my point is let's save the bullpen, a.k.a.
Carmen.
Carmen is one of two guys in that bullpen I care about right now.
I want him as I want him fresh for as many games as possible.
I don't care that Brandon Badois is going to be available tomorrow.
That doesn't I don't I don't care at all.
Not one bit.
Here we are, though.
Yeah.
Anyways, Pirates won.
That was that's my that is that is the one thing I have against today.
Yeah, that's the one annoying part of this day, I feel like.
But maybe he won't be needed for the next two days and he's needed on Saturday.
Who knows?
We'll see.
Real quick.
We talked about Horwitz.
Maybe Ryan O'Hearn gets a little more time in the field now playing first base.
Thankfully, they acquired so many first baseman.
That we should be OK in that spot, I guess.
Yeah, they've got plenty of people to play first base.
I thought Esmerlyn Valdez, who we haven't seen a whole lot of lately, he comes off the bench.
Single off the wall and then a double.
He was driving the baseball today, so that was nice to see.
I don't know how much longer he stays up here.
I have a feeling that when Griffin is ready, Valdez is probably the guy to go down.
But yeah, I.
I was happy to see Valdez drive the ball.
For sure.
I'd prefer it be Callihan that goes down or Billy Cook, but that's neither here nor there.
We can talk about that another day.
You're going to give away some sandwiches.
Let's do it.
Let's do it.
Make sure we drop the hashtag.
It's in here.
Be entered into the Permanent Brothers sandwich giveaway.
Let me get the hashtag.
And then also, don't forget to like the video.
It's just good.
Good karma.
If you like the video, you're not going to win if you don't like the video.
That's just it's bad vibes.
That's how it works.
All right.
Round one of the giveaway here.
Good luck to all the entries.
Our first winner will be.
Who is Brian?
Brian, send us over the email to NorthShore9 at gmail.com with the email associated with your Permanent Brothers account.
We'll get them loaded on there for you.
And our second winner is going to be.
Drumroll.
Brett Gray.
Bratsky.
There you go.
You know where to find us, Brett.
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NorthShore9 is all one word.
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Email us your email address associated with your Permanent Brothers account.
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Oh, yeah.
How about that app?
How about that app?
What was great about the app today is, you could be following the Pirates game, but then also on the scores tab of the app, you have all of the minor league games, too.
So, you could catch up on what our boy Konnor Griffin was doing on rehab.
And it says two for two, three runs scored, three RBIs, a homer, and a triple, Tyler.
He's coming.
Them boys coming.
Yeah.
I still think it's pride.
I know a lot of people are, like, hoping to see him this weekend.
I still think it's going to be Philadelphia.
But we'll see.
if he didn't get out today.
So, yeah.
Hey, maybe this team could use him for sure.
Maybe this is good for KG.
He gets a little bit of a break after pushing so hard to be on the major league roster.
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Should the Pirates have pulled Carmen Mlodzinski after the seventh once the lead hit 9-1?
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